Investment bank HSBC has issued a stark warning about the impact of Brexit on the UK economy.
In a new research note, HSBC predicts that the pound would tumble, and the economy would grind to a near-standstill next year. It also fears that banks would face new pain, and that London’s property market would suffer too.
Here’s the key points:
Sterling could lose 20% of its value against the US dollar. That would send the pound towards $1.10, a level not seen since 1985 (the year of the Miners’ Strike, and the launch of the battery-powered C5 vehicle).
UK growth would slow sharply. HSBC sees 1.5 percentage points being knocked off the GDP growth rate in 2017. That would wipe out almost all the expected growth.
Inflation would spike. Imported goods would be more expensive, due to the weak pound, and the Bank of England would be reluctant to raise interest rates.
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